2:30 · 3m · good to yielding · 6 runners

2:30 Fairyhouse: 3m handicap chase

Michael O'Sullivan & Lorna Brooke Ireland V Britain (Q.R.) Challenge Handicap Steeplechase

A small, ordinary amateur riders' handicap in which most of the field come into it out of form or off poor recent runs, while one young horse has been closing in on a win at this level. It reads less open than six runners suggests, with the main danger a course winner who needs to find its summer chase form again.

Going now good to yielding. The read was written at 00:54, when it was good, and is not changed.

Our top three

1Urbs Intacta Manet5/4 · rated 90For Beaten a neck over 3m½f here on 3 Nov; improving 5yo.Against It is up to OR 84 from the OR 78 it was beaten off, and has yet to win over fences.2A Year Older5/2 · rated 84 (6lb behind)For 2nd off OR 92 at Punchestown in a race that worked out.Against It has not run well since 6 Jun and is now on OR 95.3AttaboyarchieNon-runner · rated 82 (8lb behind)Kept on late when beaten 11L at Down Royal on 31 Oct off OR 100, but 0 wins from 5 chases at this sort of trip.For Beaten 11L at Down Royal off OR 100.Against It is on OR 100 and has never won a chase at this sort of trip.

Read before the off, at 00:54. The facts are from the results; the sentences are the read, written by an AI model, and every number in them is checked against the race information before they are printed. How this page is made.

The runners

In order of our rating, best first. The rating is in pounds, so the gap says how far behind the top each one is: a 2lb race is open, a 10lb race is not. Press Form on any horse for its runs, the case for and against, and what suits it. Prices as at 10:00.

ReadNo.HorseORWtDaysRatingPrice

15Urbs Intacta Manet p-08832 · Miss Ellie Callwood(7) · J P Flavin8411-2790top5/4Beaten a neck over 3m½f here on 3 Nov; improving 5yo

What the form says

Its last 2 chase runs are the best recent form in the race. It was 2nd beaten a neck over 3m½f at this course on 3 Nov off OR 78, and before that 3rd beaten ¾L at Killarney on 4 Oct off OR 76 despite a major blunder 2 out. Kilkee Bay was 33½L behind it that day and is 10lb better off today. The Killarney race has not thrown up a winner yet, and It's Time Again and Joe's Turn, who finished just ahead, have both run poorly since. It runs off OR 84 today, has placed in 2 of its 3 chases at this sort of trip, and has placed in its only run at the course.

For

Good ground, 3m and this course all suit on its last run, it is fit from 3 Nov, and the claim of 7lb helps.

Against

It is up to OR 84 from the OR 78 it was beaten off, and has yet to win over fences.

Our figure (in testing): 1st of 6. The read has him 1st.

Form

3 Nov 262nd of 7, beaten a neck won by CerocFairyhouse (IRE) · 24½f · good to yielding · OR 78 · 9-10 · 4/1

Same course, near enough the same trip, and beaten only a neck off OR 78.

4 Oct 263rd of 15, beaten ¾L won by Joe's TurnKillarney (IRE) · 23½f · good to yielding · OR 76 · 9-11 · 11/1

led during the race · jumping errors · kept on

Within ¾L of the winner despite a major blunder 2 out, and well clear of Kilkee Bay.

28 Aug 268th of 13, beaten 30¾L won by ThewaybackhomeWexford (IRE) · 25f · yielding · OR 77 · 10-6 · 12/1

Beaten 30¾L on yielding ground, so its improvement on quicker going since is clear.

10 Aug 268th of 16, beaten 14L won by Nothing HecticBallinrobe (IRE) · 22½f · good · OR 80 · 10-10 · 80/1

weakened

13 May 2611th of 18, beaten 62¼L won by Oogum BoogumPunchestown · 24f · good · OR 82 · 10-5 · 33/1

held up · weakened

5 earlier runs

12 Apr 266th of 11, beaten 49¼L won by KalsmanDown Royal · 20f · good · OR 84 · 10-6 · 40/1

raced prominently · met trouble · kept on

2 Mar 2612th of 16, beaten 54½L won by PlaytimeLeopardstown · 16f · soft to heavy · OR – · 11-8 · 300/1

held up

29 Dec 25PU won by No CureLimerick · 19f · soft to heavy · OR – · 11-12 · 150/1

raced in midfield · met trouble · well beaten

15 Dec 2516th of 20, beaten 63¼L won by Open SecretNaas · 19f · soft to heavy · OR – · 11-7 · 300/1

held up · well beaten

22 Nov 2519th of 24, beaten 64L won by Santo SospirPunchestown · 19½f · soft to heavy · OR – · 11-7 · 66/1

raced in midfield · well beaten

22A Year OlderF-12P0 · Mr Finian Maguire · Karl Thornton9511-13784-65/22nd off OR 92 at Punchestown in a race that worked out

What the form says

It won at Limerick on 21 May off OR 87, a race that has produced 4 winners since, with Kilkee Bay 25L behind; Kilkee Bay is 8lb better off today. It then ran 2nd beaten 2¾L at Punchestown on 6 Jun off OR 92, with Pourquoi Poi ½L behind and later a winner off OR 101, and Il Silenzio, who was 4th, also winning since off OR 93. It runs off OR 95 today, has won 1 of its 4 chases at this sort of trip, and won a hurdle here on 1 Jan off OR 83.

For

Good ground and 3m suit on its summer chase form, it won a hurdle at this course, and its last run over hurdles may have been a prep for this.

Against

It has not run well since 6 Jun and is now on OR 95.

The figure and the read differ. Our figures lean heavily on its 30¼L hurdle defeat on 3 Nov; I put more weight on its 6 Jun chase 2nd, which has worked out well.

Form

3 Nov 2611th of 12, beaten 30¼L won by Mickey CohenFairyhouse (IRE) · 24f · good to yielding · OR 92 · 10-12 · 6/1

held up

A poor hurdle run, beaten 30¼L, but it was over hurdles in a race whose rivals have not run since.

13 Jun 26PU won by PassengerontheshipHexham · 24f · good · Class 5 · OR 100 · 12-0 · 3/1

pulled up

6 Jun 262nd of 16, beaten 2¾L won by Le Grand VertPunchestown · 25f · good to yielding · OR 92 · 10-8 · 5/1

raced prominently · kept on

Its best chase line, and the horses around it have since won off OR 101 and OR 93.

21 May 261st of 12 wonLimerick · 22½f · good · OR 87 · 11-1 · 17/2

led during the race · kept on

A win off OR 87 in a race that has thrown up 4 winners.

12 Apr 26F won by MastermindDown Royal · 26f · good · OR 83 · 10-11 · 5/1

raced in midfield

5 earlier runs

1 Jan 261st of 17 wonFairyhouse · 26f · yielding · OR 83 · 10-2 · 40/1

raced prominently · led during the race · kept on

13 Mar 258th of 18, beaten 27¾L won by Aleish LassLimerick · 22½f · yielding · OR 84 · 10-12 · 16/1

held up

15 Dec 24PU won by IndividualisteNavan · 20½f · yielding · OR 87 · 10-0 · 40/1

held up · met trouble · pulled up

12 Nov 249th of 14, beaten 18L won by WhatsavailableFairyhouse · 23½f · good · OR 89 · 9-10 · 33/1

raced in midfield · kept on

20 Oct 2412th of 13, beaten 28L won by Spring MeadowLimerick · 19½f · good · OR 92 · 10-11 · 100/1

raced prominently · well beaten

31Attaboyarchie Non-runner2-5U06 · Mr Henry Crow(7) · Karl Thornton10012-41082-8-Kept on late when beaten 11L at Down Royal on 31 Oct off OR 100, but 0 wins from 5 chases at this sort of trip.

What the form says

It was 6th beaten 11L over 3m at Down Royal on 31 Oct off OR 100, staying on late after jumping tentatively. At Limerick on 21 May it had led before 2 out and was keeping on when the saddle slipped and it unseated. Its Perth 5th on 13 May, beaten 17¼L off OR 100, came in a race that has worked out, with The Flying Poet and Sir Carnegie both winning since. Its best chase run at the trip is a 2nd beaten 8L at Down Royal on 12 Apr off OR 98, and it has 0 wins from 5 chases at this sort of trip and 0 wins from 10 runs at this course.

For

Same trip and ground as its last run, the 7lb claim helps, but it carries 172lb and has a poor record at the course.

Against

It is on OR 100 and has never won a chase at this sort of trip.

Our figure (in testing): 2nd of 6. The read has him 3rd.

Form

31 Oct 266th of 12, beaten 11L won by Intense ApproachDown Royal (IRE) · 24f · good · OR 100 · 9-13 · 22/1

held up · weakened

A fair run at the same trip on good ground, staying on late, but beaten 11L.

9 Jun 2610th of 16, beaten 15½L won by IlbdareSligo · 26f · good · OR 100 · 11-6 · 18/1

raced prominently

A hurdle, beaten 15½L after racing keenly, and it tells us little about today.

21 May 26UR won by NastyaLimerick · 24½f · good · OR 98 · 10-2 · 7/1

held up · led during the race · kept on

13 May 265th of 8, beaten 17¼L won by The Flying PoetPerth · 24f · good to soft · Class 5 · OR 100 · 11-7 · 12/1

raced in midfield · jumping errors · weakened

Beaten 17¼L in a race that has thrown up 3 winners, so it was well held in decent company.

12 Apr 262nd of 10, beaten 8L won by BrucejackDown Royal · 26f · good · OR 98 · 9-12 · 8/1

met trouble · kept on

5 earlier runs

3 Mar 264th of 10, beaten 10¾L won by Harbour HighwayLeopardstown · 21½f · yielding · OR 100 · 11-0 · 16/1

led early · kept on

8 Feb 26PU won by RokathirNavan · 24f · heavy · OR 103 · 10-2 · 20/1

held up · pulled up

14 Jan 264th of 9, beaten 16¼L won by Nelson CountyFairyhouse · 21½f · yielding · OR 105 · 10-6 · 10/1

raced prominently · kept on

31 Dec 259th of 16, beaten 22¾L won by Sammy SmartPunchestown · 19½f · yielding to soft · OR 105 · 10-4 · 25/1

held up · kept on

30 Nov 25UR won by VaurealFairyhouse · 21½f · yielding to soft · OR 105 · 10-4 · 12/1

held up · met trouble · never involved

43Kilkee Bay p8125U8 · Mr Paddy Barlow(7) · E McNamara9211-103776-144/1Won off OR 90 in June, but beaten 33½L by Urbs Intacta Manet on 4 Oct; 10lb better off is not enough to close that.

What the form says

It won at Roscommon on 8 Jun off OR 90, with Revolut Ned 37L behind; Revolut Ned is 11lb better off today. Its 2nd at Killarney on 17 Jul, beaten 15L off OR 96, came behind Cullenwaine, who has not won since. It is 10lb better off with that horse today and 8lb better off with A Year Older from Limerick on 21 May, and it is on OR 92 with 0 wins from 5 chases at this sort of trip.

For

It is on OR 92, 2 above its winning mark of OR 90, and back on good ground with cheekpieces and a 7lb claim.

Our figure (in testing): 5th of 6. The read has him 4th.

Form

4 Oct 268th of 15, beaten 34¼L won by Joe's TurnKillarney (IRE) · 23½f · good to yielding · OR 94 · 11-1 · 7/1

held up · weakened

Dropped away tamely after an error 3 out, 33½L behind Urbs Intacta Manet.

20 Aug 26UR won by Ladies WellKillarney (IRE) · 23½f · good · OR 95 · 11-2 · 10/1

held up · met trouble

4 Aug 265th of 16, beaten 30½L won by Il SilenzioRoscommon (IRE) · 25f · soft · OR 96 · 11-5 · 11/2

held up · well beaten

Beaten 30½L on soft ground, which is excuse enough on good today.

17 Jul 262nd of 15, beaten 15L won by CullenwaineKillarney (IRE) · 23f · good to yielding · OR 96 · 11-3 · 5/1

held up · raced wide · kept on

A clear 2nd but beaten 15L, in a race that has produced only 2 winners.

8 Jun 261st of 16 wonRoscommon · 21½f · yielding to soft · OR 90 · 11-1 · 20/1

held up

5 earlier runs

21 May 268th of 12, beaten 25L won by A Year OlderLimerick · 22½f · good · OR 92 · 11-6 · 14/1

raced prominently

11 May 26UR won by OneforgonzoKillarney · 20½f · good to yielding · OR 94 · 10-10 · 22/1

held up · jumping errors

2 Oct 256th of 14, beaten 28L won by SallapClonmel · 23f · yielding · OR 97 · 11-4 · 4/1

led during the race · weakened

23 Aug 25F won by Give Him A ChanceKillarney · 20f · good · OR 97 · 11-7 · 10/1

raced prominently

8 Aug 258th of 14, beaten 36L won by My Good PalWexford · 20½f · good to yielding · OR 99 · 11-6 · 7/1

well beaten

56Revolut Ned-13706 · Mr B M Coonan(7) · William P Murphy8211-02770-206/13rd in a strong Tramore race; beaten far in 3 since

What the form says

Its best recent run was 3rd beaten 7L at Tramore on 30 May off OR 87, a race that has thrown up 5 winners, with Cullenwaine 3L behind it and later a winner. It is down to OR 82, has 0 wins from 5 chases at this sort of trip, and has never run at this course.

For

Up 2½f in trip on good ground, down to OR 82 with a 7lb claim, and having its first run at the course.

Against

It has run poorly in all 3 races since 30 May.

Our figure (in testing): 6th of 6. The read has him 5th.

Form

14 Oct 266th of 8, beaten 46¼L won by Giant HaystacksPunchestown (IRE) · 21½f · good · OR 84 · 10-0 · 18/1

raced prominently · weakened

Pressed for the lead before fading to finish beaten 46¼L at 2½f shorter.

30 Sep 2610th of 12, beaten 112L won by Mini GetawaySligo (IRE) · 26f · good · OR 86 · 11-0 · 16/1

jumping errors

Beaten 112L in a race that has produced 4 winners, so it got nowhere near good company.

8 Jun 267th of 16, beaten 37L won by Kilkee BayRoscommon · 21½f · yielding to soft · OR 87 · 11-2 · 6/1

raced in midfield · kept on

Weakened after 2 out to finish 37L behind Kilkee Bay on yielding to soft.

30 May 263rd of 10, beaten 7L won by Menas MiracleTramore · 22f · good · OR 87 · 11-2 · 9/2

held up · met trouble · kept on

29 Dec 2512th of 14, beaten 67L won by Last RoundLimerick · 22½f · soft to heavy · OR – · 11-7 · 33/1

held up · well beaten

5 earlier runs

27 Aug 257th of 8, beaten 22L won by Jackson LambBellewstown · 20½f · good · OR – · 11-10 · 33/1

raced in midfield · kept on

4 Jul 25PU won by Stay GoldWexford · 24½f · good · OR – · 11-4 · 66/1

raced in midfield · pulled up

8 May 25PU won by The Rebel CountyTipperary · 23½f · good to yielding · OR – · 11-4 · 7/1

held up · pulled up

14 Apr 253rd of 8, beaten 1½L won by Ta Se RuaTramore · 22f · yielding · OR – · 11-2 · 7/1

9 Jun 24PU won by Topgun SimmyPunchestown · 23½f · yielding · OR – · 11-5 · 100/1

64Heroes of Renown b2-330P · Miss T Quail(7) · John Joseph Hanlon8711-51166-2416/112yo pulled up last time; beaten 77L before that

What the form says

It was pulled up over hurdles at Down Royal on 30 Oct and beaten 77L at Clonmel on 22 Oct before that. Its 3rd at Galway on 6 Oct, beaten 21L off OR 95 in an 8-runner race, came after it dropped back and was promoted late, and that race has produced no winner since. It is a 12yo, down to OR 87 with blinkers on, has placed in its only chase at this sort of trip, and finished 8th in its only run at the course.

For

Good ground and 3m are fine, but it is 12, quick back from 30 Oct, and has shown no form this autumn.

Against

It has been beaten 77L and pulled up in its last 2 runs.

The figure and the read differ. Our figures place it third on the Galway 3rd, but that was 21L in a weak 8-runner race and it has been tailed off and pulled up since.

Form

30 Oct 26PU won by Lost FeaturesDown Royal (IRE) · 24½f · good to yielding · OR 91 · 11-6 · 50/1

raced prominently · pulled up

22 Oct 2610th of 15, beaten 77L won by Mount ShenshanClonmel (IRE) · 21f · good · OR 94 · 11-1 · 20/1

raced in midfield · well beaten

Tailed off, beaten 77L at 3f shorter.

6 Oct 263rd of 8, beaten 21L won by Ballagh StarGalway (IRE) · 22½f · yielding to soft · OR 95 · 11-0 · 50/1

weakened

Beaten 21L in a small field that has done nothing since.

10 Jun 2513th of 15, beaten 65L won by Boston RajjSligo · 26f · good · OR 106 · 11-7 · 80/1

held up · jumping errors · weakened

Beaten 65L over hurdles in a race that worked out, and that is too old to count.

21 Apr 25PU won by Lisleigh LadCork · 20f · yielding · OR 114 · 11-7 · 80/1

held up · jumping errors

5 earlier runs

22 Jan 236th of 6, beaten 238L won by Ferns LockThurles · 24½f · yielding · OR 114 · 11-0 · 50/1

15 Jul 2210th of 11, beaten 43½L won by Magnor GloryKillarney · 20f · good · OR 122 · 11-5 · 33/1

27 May 2210th of 12, beaten 25¾L won by Twilight GirlLimerick · 25½f · good · OR 115 · 11-13 · 17/2

5 May 223rd of 10, beaten 31L won by Darrens HopeTipperary · 23½f · good to yielding · OR – · 11-12 · 20/1

22 Apr 227th of 10, beaten 54¼L won by Baptism Of FireKilbeggan · 22f · good to yielding · OR – · 11-12 · 20/1

How to read this table

Rating is the read's own figure for each horse today, in pounds on one scale for the race. Our figure, a separate mechanical rating, is in testing and shows inside each horse's form until it has a record worth showing.

Days is days since the horse last ran. OR is its official rating. A small letter after the name is headgear (b blinkers, v visor, p cheekpieces, t tongue tie, h hood).

Key form lines

The past races that say most about this one, and what they mean today.

Fairyhouse, 3 Nov 26

Urbs Intacta Manet went down by a neck over 3m½f at this course and is the most recent strong run by anyone in the field.

Killarney, 4 Oct 26

Urbs Intacta Manet was beaten ¾L in 3rd and Kilkee Bay 33½L in 8th, so Kilkee Bay needs a big turnaround even at 10lb better off.

Punchestown, 6 Jun 26

A Year Older's 2nd off OR 92 has worked out, with Pourquoi Poi (½L behind) winning off OR 101 and Il Silenzio winning off OR 93 since.

Tramore, 30 May 26

Revolut Ned's 3rd came in a race that has produced 5 winners, but it has run poorly in all 3 starts since.

Where today's runners have met

Races two or more of today's runners have run in, the last 18 months first. "Terms" shows how the weights have moved since, against the best-placed of them that day.

Killarney (IRE), 4 Oct 262m7½f, good to yielding, 15 ran

	Finished	Behind Urbs Intacta Manet	Weight then → today	Mark (OR) then → today	Terms v Urbs Intacta Manet
Urbs Intacta Manet	3rd	—	9-11 → 11-2	76 → 84	the yardstick
Kilkee Bay	8th	33½L	11-1 → 11-10	94 → 92	10lb better off

Roscommon, 8 Jun 262m5½f, yielding to soft, 16 ranform not held up: 0 of the 1 others that have run since ran to that level again

	Finished	Behind Kilkee Bay	Weight then → today	Mark (OR) then → today	Terms v Kilkee Bay
Kilkee Bay	1st	—	11-1 → 11-10	90 → 92	the yardstick
Revolut Ned	7th	37L	11-2 → 11-0	87 → 82	11lb better off

The others in that race, since

Jouster4th that day · unplaced since (3 runs, best 5th)

Limerick, 21 May 262m6½f, good, 12 ranform held up: 2 of the 3 others that have run since ran to that level again

	Finished	Behind A Year Older	Weight then → today	Mark (OR) then → today	Terms v A Year Older
A Year Older	1st	—	11-1 → 11-13	87 → 95	the yardstick
Kilkee Bay	8th	25L	11-6 → 11-10	92 → 92	8lb better off

The others in that race, since

Fr Gilligansvoyge4th that day · placed since (best: 2nd)

Stormy Master3rd that day · unplaced since (3 runs, best 9th)

Cullenwaine2nd that day · won since (1st)

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