Tips today · Tuesday 10 November

Fairyhouse

Turf · Flat and jumps

158races, last 12 months47 flat · 111 jumps
39.6%jumps favourites win ▲ 4.4 pts vs all jumps
11.9runners per jumps race
Nonereliable draw bias, flat None in 0 races
3/19our winners here16% strike rate

Fairyhouse tips today: our likely top three, race by race

Tuesday 10 November · Going: Good To Yielding

Our likely top three for 6 of the 8 races at Fairyhouse today, read on the form before the off, with what we make of each race. Prices are as we captured them at 10:30.

12:30 2m1f hurdle · 16 run · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle prices at 10:30

What we make of it. A 3yo academy hurdle at 2m1f on good to yielding in which 13 of the 16 have never run, and the three with form were all well beaten or failed to finish. There is almost no form to separate them, so this is about as open as a race gets, decided by whichever newcomer shows the most.

  1. 1 Quatre Saison 7/4 Unraced Gordon Elliott newcomer with Jack Kennedy riding
  2. 2 Garrison Gold 5/2 Unraced, Margaret Mullins trains, Danny Mullins rides
  3. 3 Lakeshore 9/2 Unraced Harrington newcomer, Simon Torrens rides
Read the full form for the 12:30 →
1:00 2m4½f maiden hurdle · 10 run · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Mares Maiden Hurdle prices at 10:30

What we make of it. A weak mares maiden: nobody has placed at around this trip over hurdles, and most of the field have been beaten 20L or more on their recent runs. The best of the lines put Rebel Reba and Western Shores clear of the rest, with Jukebox Jolene and Cool As A Cat the ones whose form reads better through the horses they ran with.

  1. 1 Rebel Reba evens She has run 2 races at around today's trip over hurdles without placing, and once at this course.
  2. 2 Western Shores 3/1 OR 92 but 0 from 5 at around today's trip
  3. 3 Jukebox Jolene 17/2 Beaten 1L by Inver Bay, a winner off OR 94 since
Read the full form for the 1:00 →
1:30 3m½f handicap hurdle · 13 run · William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle prices at 10:30

What we make of it. The Punchestown qualifier on 13 Oct supplies three of the principals, and its 10L winner meets the placed pair on very different terms today. Behind that trio are a progressive mare, a couple of lightly raced young horses and several out-of-form older handicappers, so the race is fairly open at the top but thins out quickly.

  1. 1 Live To Laugh 5/2
  2. 2 Warmer Days Ahead 7/2
  3. 3 Pilgrims Walk 6/1
Read the full form for the 1:30 →
2:00 2m4f beginners' chase · 12 run · Irish National Hunt Steeplechase CLG Beginners Steeplechase prices at 10:30

What we make of it. A beginners' chase that pits chasing debutants with Graded hurdle form, led by Ballyfad and Storm Heart, against runners who have already jumped fences, headed by Glen Kiln, Kainsbourg and Hiddenvalley Lake. The chase form on offer has not worked out and the best hurdlers all return from long breaks, so the race is more open than the top hurdle ratings suggest.

  1. 1 Ballyfad 13/8 Beaten a head in a Grade 1; King Rasko Grey behind won two since
  2. 2 Storm Heart 7/4 OR 151 hurdler, Grade 2 third over course and distance
  3. 3 Glen Kiln 7/2 Beaten a head over fences here; winner since 4th off OR 125
Read the full form for the 2:00 →
2:30 3m handicap chase · 6 run · Michael O'Sullivan & Lorna Brooke Ireland V Britain (Q.R.) Challenge H prices at 10:30

What we make of it. A small, ordinary amateur riders' handicap in which most of the field come into it out of form or off poor recent runs, while one young horse has been closing in on a win at this level. It reads less open than six runners suggests, with the main danger a course winner who needs to find its summer chase form again.

  1. 1 Urbs Intacta Manet 5/4 Beaten a neck over 3m½f here on 3 Nov; improving 5yo
  2. 2 A Year Older 9/4 2nd off OR 92 at Punchestown in a race that worked out
  3. 3 Attaboyarchie Non-runner Beaten 11L at Down Royal off OR 100; no win at the trip
Read the full form for the 2:30 →
3:30 2m4½f handicap hurdle · 14 run · John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle prices at 10:30

What we make of it. Fourteen qualified riders on good to yielding, with a Fairyhouse chase winner running off a much lower hurdle mark, a recent Punchestown winner raised in the weights and a Wexford winner back on better ground all holding solid claims. It is open, and a long tail of runners well beaten in recent runs leaves only a handful whose form stands up.

  1. 1 West Of Carrig 11/4 Fairyhouse chase winner off OR 104, runs off 89 over hurdles
  2. 2 Boola Times 9/1 Won over 2m4½f off OR 91, now 96; heavy pull-up excusable
  3. 3 Tuckmill 9/1 Comfortable Punchestown winner; third home has won since
Read the full form for the 3:30 →

Our likely top three is our read of the form, not betting advice. Prices move, and non-runners are marked when we hear of them. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org

Our Record at Fairyhouse

since 28 May

3 winners from 19 picks here on the daily card and the X thread. The biggest-priced of them:

16/1Caitouna1 Jul 2026
13/2Naoi21 Sept 2026
5/2Contrary To Law8 Jul 2026

Price is the one we put up. The full card record, losers included, is on the record page.

Trainers in Form

last 14 days
  • W. P. Mullins7 from 24
    Runs today: 1:00 Rebel Reba, 2:00 Kel Histoire, 2:00 Largy Hill, 2:00 Storm Heart

At least 6 runners in the last 14 days, at any track, winning with 25% or more.

Course Winners Running Today

today's runners
TimeHorseWon hereThis trip
3:00Big Interest1 of 31

Plus 4 more with a single win here at another trip.

Top Fairyhouse Jumps Trainers

last 12 months, jumps
TrainerW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Gordon ElliottHurdles 12–73 · Chases 4–49 · Bumpers 3–12 19–134 14.2% 14.3% +1.50
W. P. MullinsHurdles 8–56 · Chases 7–46 · Bumpers 2–8 17–110 15.5% 19.6% -43.96
Gavin CromwellHurdles 4–52 · Chases 1–23 · Bumpers 2–6 7–81 8.6% 8.9% -22.38
Noel MeadeHurdles 5–16 · Chases 0–1 · Bumpers 0–1 5–18 27.8% 13.7% +5.35
Ian Patrick DonoghueHurdles 2–24 · Chases 3–9 · Bumpers 0–1 5–34 14.7% 9.2% -3.00
Henry de BromheadHurdles 3–22 · Chases 1–22 · Bumpers 0–2 4–46 8.7% 13.2% -26.59
Paul NolanHurdles 1–18 · Chases 2–10 · Bumpers 0–1 3–29 10.3% 10.7% +28.33

Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss. Hurdles, chases and bumpers count together, and "all tracks" means jumps at every course. The line under each name splits the wins and runners here by race type.

Top Fairyhouse Jumps Jockeys

last 12 months, jumps
JockeyW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Jack KennedyHurdles 13–41 · Chases 4–17 17–58 29.3% 19.6% -4.41
Mark WalshHurdles 6–25 · Chases 3–14 9–39 23.1% 14.6% -8.57
Donagh MeylerHurdles 4–28 · Chases 3–9 7–37 18.9% 11.2% +4.25
Paul TownendHurdles 3–16 · Chases 3–11 6–27 22.2% 30.5% -6.77
Darragh O'KeeffeHurdles 4–32 · Chases 2–14 6–46 13.0% 12.7% +4.32
Michael KenneallyHurdles 3–13 · Chases 1–9 4–22 18.2% 10.2% +14.38
Danny GilliganHurdles 2–23 · Chases 2–16 4–39 10.3% 8.6% +61.08
Sam EwingHurdles 3–13 · Chases 0–6 3–19 15.8% 10.7% -3.17
Sean FlanaganHurdles 2–20 · Chases 1–7 3–27 11.1% 8.1% -8.67
Daniel KingHurdles 3–26 · Chases 0–8 3–34 8.8% 10.9% +17.10

Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss. Hurdles, chases and bumpers count together, and "all tracks" means jumps at every course. The line under each name splits the wins and rides here by race type.

Top Fairyhouse Flat Trainers

last 12 months, flat
TrainerW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
J. P. Murtagh 6–22 27.3% 10.6% +1.27
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 5–29 17.2% 16.8% -4.37
Paul W Flynn 3–15 20.0% 9.9% +32.00
Mrs John Harrington 3–24 12.5% 9.0% -4.50

Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Top Fairyhouse Flat Jockeys

last 12 months, flat
JockeyW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Colin Keane 8–30 26.7% 15.8% +19.94
Ben Coen 7–30 23.3% 10.5% +0.27
W. J. Lee 5–34 14.7% 14.4% +5.75

Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Favourites at Fairyhouse

last 12 months

Over jumps here the starting-price favourite has won 44 of 111 races (39.6%), against 35.2% across all 1483 Irish jumps races in the same 12 months. Fields average 11.9 runners.

Race typeRacesFavourite wonHereAll Ireland
All jumps1114439.6%35.2%
Hurdles673044.8%34.3%

The starting-price favourite; where favourites are joint, the race counts as a favourite win if any of them won. All jumps is shown with at least 60 races here, and each race type with at least 40; a type below that is left off. "All Ireland" is the same type of race at every Irish course over the same 12 months, and for the flat on the same surface.

Fairyhouse Draw Bias

flat races since 17 Apr

No part of the draw wins more than its share of runners by enough to rule out chance, at any trip. Over 0 races, where a horse is drawn here has mattered less than it is often given credit for.

On good or faster ground: no trip here has the 60 races we need yet, so we do not show it. This fills in as the record grows.

On good to soft or softer ground: no trip here has the 60 races we need yet, so we do not show it. This fills in as the record grows.

Stalls are split into low, middle and high thirds within each race. Each bar is that third's share of the winners and the tick is its share of the runners, so a bar past its tick is winning more than its share. We only call a bias when the gap is at least 15% of that share and two standard deviations clear of chance.

Every figure on this page is counted from official results for Fairyhouse and refreshed each morning. Each section states its window, and anything below a minimum sample is left off rather than shown on thin numbers.