Racecourse guide · Thursday 8 October

Chepstow

Left-handed · undulating · straight mile

97races, last 12 months
34.0%favourites win ▼ 2.0 pts vs all flat
7.4runners per race
Nonereliable draw bias None in 162 races
13/60our winners here22% strike rate

Today's Chepstow Tips

Thursday 8 October

There is no flat racing at Chepstow today. Our selections for today's meetings are on today's tips, and the course stats below are updated every morning.

Our Record at Chepstow

since 21 May

13 winners from 60 picks here on the daily card and the X thread. The biggest-priced of them:

12/1Kodi Fire16 Jul 2026
6/1So Smart16 Jul 2026
11/4Pj's Corner29 Aug 2026
5/2Hint Of The Jungle15 Jun 2026
9/4Oasis Sunrise29 May 2026
2/1Sonic Si15 Jun 2026

Price is the one we put up. The full card record, losers included, is on the record page.

Trainers in Form

last 14 days

No trainer with a runner here today is in a hot spell.

At least 6 runners in the last 14 days, at any track, winning with 25% or more.

Course Winners Running Today

today's runners

Nobody in today's fields has won here twice or over today's trip.

Top Chepstow Trainers

last 12 months, flat
TrainerW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Tony Carroll 7–35 20.0% 13.3% -5.00
Grace Harris 7–62 11.3% 8.9% -18.67
David Evans 6–23 26.1% 10.1% +27.63
John & Rhys Flint 4–27 14.8% 7.4% -0.80
Thomas Faulkner 3–19 15.8% 11.8% +17.00
Eve Johnson Houghton 3–21 14.3% 11.8% +14.50
Rod Millman 3–28 10.7% 11.7% -9.88
Adrian Wintle 3–28 10.7% 8.6% -8.00

Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Top Chepstow Jockeys

last 12 months, flat
JockeyW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Ashley Lewis 7–34 20.6% 13.4% +9.38
Gina Mangan 5–17 29.4% 10.3% +2.88
Rossa Ryan 5–26 19.2% 18.0% -2.63
Jack Doughty 4–15 26.7% 9.0% +5.32
Taylor Fisher 4–21 19.0% 8.5% +31.00
Joe Leavy 4–32 12.5% 8.3% +3.07
Billy Loughnane 3–16 18.8% 19.9% -8.54
Ryan Kavanagh 3–17 17.6% 11.2% -5.92
William Carson 3–25 12.0% 8.5% +1.20
Charles Bishop 3–25 12.0% 8.0% +0.50

Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Chepstow Draw Bias

flat races since 17 Apr

No part of the draw wins more than its share of runners by enough to rule out chance, at any trip. Over 162 races, where a horse is drawn here has mattered less than it is often given credit for.

5f to 6f85 races
Low 38.6%
Middle 24.3%
High 37.1%
7f to a mile77 races
Low 25.4%
Middle 29.9%
High 44.8%

On good or faster ground

5f to 6f64 races
Low 37%
Middle 25.9%
High 37%

Not enough races yet on good or faster ground over 7f to a mile, 9f to 11f, 1m 4f and further.

On good to soft or softer ground: no trip here has the 60 races we need yet, so we do not show it. This fills in as the record grows.

Stalls are split into low, middle and high thirds within each race. Each bar is that third's share of the winners and the tick is its share of the runners, so a bar past its tick is winning more than its share. We only call a bias when the gap is at least 15% of that share and two standard deviations clear of chance.

Chepstow Track Guide

Chepstow is a left-handed undulating course, roughly oval and just under two miles round.

The finishing straight is about five furlongs long.

There is also a straight mile course.

Direction
Left-handed
Shape
Roughly oval circuit of just under 2 miles, undulating
Straight
About 5 furlongs, plus a straight mile course
Surface
Turf
Racing
Flat and jumps

Every figure on this page is counted from official flat results for Chepstow and refreshed each morning. Each section states its window, and anything below a minimum sample is left off rather than shown on thin numbers.