Racecourse guide · Thursday 8 October

Chelmsford

Left-handed Polytrack oval · no straight course

170races, last 12 months
30.6%favourites win ▼ 5.9 pts vs all flat
8.2runners per race
Yesreliable draw bias Bias found · 3 thirds

Today's Chelmsford Tips

Thursday 8 October

There is no flat racing at Chelmsford today. Our selections for today's meetings are on today's tips, and the course stats below are updated every morning.

Trainers in Form

last 14 days

No trainer with a runner here today is in a hot spell.

At least 6 runners in the last 14 days, at any track, winning with 25% or more.

Course Winners Running Today

today's runners

Nobody in today's fields has won here twice or over today's trip.

Top Chelmsford Trainers

last 12 months, flat
TrainerW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Stuart Williams 7–49 14.3% 10.8% -14.05
Michael Appleby 6–26 23.1% 11.6% +3.42
Ian Williams 6–30 20.0% 12.3% -9.97
David Loughnane 5–16 31.2% 9.1% +12.33
Michael Bell 5–18 27.8% 11.6% +0.64
Richard Hannon 5–24 20.8% 11.9% +4.12
Tony Carroll 5–50 10.0% 13.3% -26.00
Archie Watson 4–15 26.7% 12.5% +2.58
Jamie Osborne 4–21 19.0% 12.5% +82.58
Charlie Johnston 4–29 13.8% 11.4% +14.00

Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Top Chelmsford Jockeys

last 12 months, flat
JockeyW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Luke Morris 11–58 19.0% 11.4% +3.41
Hector Crouch 8–42 19.0% 17.0% -22.74
Billy Loughnane 7–32 21.9% 19.9% -5.20
Marco Ghiani 7–39 17.9% 16.0% +3.83
Hollie Doyle 6–43 14.0% 13.2% -14.47
Ryan Kavanagh 5–16 31.2% 11.2% +2.75
Callum Shepherd 5–17 29.4% 11.1% +19.71
Cieren Fallon 5–40 12.5% 17.0% +2.75
Robert Havlin 4–16 25.0% 15.5% -2.97
Finley Marsh 4–19 21.1% 10.3% -6.25

Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Chelmsford Draw Bias

flat races since 17 Apr

There is a draw effect here we would rely on. Over 5f to 6f, low draws have the edge: 44.1% of the winners from 32.6% of the runners. Over 7f to a mile, low draws have the edge: 43.2% of the winners from 32.9% of the runners. Over 7f to a mile, high draws struggle: 18% of the winners from 32.9% of the runners.

5f to 6f93 races
Low 44.1%▲ edge
Middle 32.3%
High 23.7%
7f to a mile121 races
Low 43.2%▲ edge
Middle 38.7%
High 18%▼ weak

Stalls are split into low, middle and high thirds within each race. Each bar is that third's share of the winners and the tick is its share of the runners, so a bar past its tick is winning more than its share. We only call a bias when the gap is at least 15% of that share and two standard deviations clear of chance.

Chelmsford Track Guide

Chelmsford City is a galloping, left-handed Polytrack oval of just over a mile round, with two sweeping bends.

There are chutes for seven-furlong and one-mile and two-mile races, but no straight course.

Direction
Left-handed
Shape
Galloping oval of just over a mile, two chutes, no straight course
Surface
Polytrack
Racing
Flat (all-weather)

Every figure on this page is counted from official flat results for Chelmsford and refreshed each morning. Each section states its window, and anything below a minimum sample is left off rather than shown on thin numbers.