Racecourse guide · Thursday 8 October
Carlisle
Today's Carlisle Tips
Thursday 8 OctoberThere is no flat racing at Carlisle today. Our selections for today's meetings are on today's tips, and the course stats below are updated every morning.
Our Record at Carlisle
since 29 May11 winners from 59 picks here on the daily card and the X thread. The biggest-priced of them:
Price is the one we put up. The full card record, losers included, is on the record page.
Trainers in Form
last 14 daysNo trainer with a runner here today is in a hot spell.
At least 6 runners in the last 14 days, at any track, winning with 25% or more.
Course Winners Running Today
today's runnersNobody in today's fields has won here twice or over today's trip.
Top Carlisle Trainers
last 12 months, flat| Trainer | W–R | Here | All tracks | 1pt SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. R. Burke | 7–23 | 30.4% | 19.4% | +10.46 |
| Iain Jardine | 7–34 | 20.6% | 11.7% | +25.50 |
| David O'Meara | 6–22 | 27.3% | 10.6% | +4.56 |
| Jim Goldie | 4–31 | 12.9% | 10.5% | -11.07 |
| Tim Easterby | 4–72 | 5.6% | 9.4% | -52.50 |
| Edward Bethell | 3–22 | 13.6% | 15.7% | -1.20 |
| Richard & Peter Fahey | 3–31 | 9.7% | 9.8% | -9.67 |
Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.
Top Carlisle Jockeys
last 12 months, flat| Jockey | W–R | Here | All tracks | 1pt SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Winn | 6–16 | 37.5% | 9.8% | +18.50 |
| P J McDonald | 5–16 | 31.2% | 12.5% | +21.75 |
| Andrew Mullen | 5–20 | 25.0% | 10.3% | +27.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 5–24 | 20.8% | 15.0% | +0.56 |
| Clifford Lee | 4–18 | 22.2% | 13.7% | -2.50 |
| Oisin Orr | 4–22 | 18.2% | 14.6% | +1.63 |
| Connor Beasley | 4–36 | 11.1% | 13.2% | -16.29 |
| Sam James | 3–15 | 20.0% | 12.6% | +11.25 |
Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.
Carlisle Draw Bias
flat races since 17 AprNo part of the draw wins more than its share of runners by enough to rule out chance, at any trip. Over 131 races, where a horse is drawn here has mattered less than it is often given credit for.
On good or faster ground: no trip here has the 60 races we need yet, so we do not show it. This fills in as the record grows.
On good to soft or softer ground: no trip here has the 60 races we need yet, so we do not show it. This fills in as the record grows.
Stalls are split into low, middle and high thirds within each race. Each bar is that third's share of the winners and the tick is its share of the runners, so a bar past its tick is winning more than its share. We only call a bias when the gap is at least 15% of that share and two standard deviations clear of chance.
Carlisle Track Guide
Carlisle is a right-handed circuit of 1 mile and 4 furlongs.
It hosts flat racing in the summer and National Hunt racing over the winter.
The last half mile is up a steep incline and the going can get very heavy in winter.
- Direction
- Right-handed
- Shape
- Circuit of 1 mile 4 furlongs, steep last half mile
- Surface
- Turf
- Racing
- Flat (summer) and National Hunt (winter)
Every figure on this page is counted from official flat results for Carlisle and refreshed each morning. Each section states its window, and anything below a minimum sample is left off rather than shown on thin numbers.