Racecourse guide · Thursday 8 October
Ayr
Today's Ayr Tips
Going: Heavy · 7 racesNo tip from us at Ayr today. The card is below, and today's selections at other courses are on today's tips.
| Time | Race | Trip | Rnrs | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:45 | Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 | 1m 2f | 12 | – |
| 2:20 | Menabrea Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 | 6f | 7 | – |
| 2:55 | Heverlee Handicap StakesClass 6 | 7f | 10 | – |
| 3:30 | Tennent's Lager Handicap StakesClass 4 | 6f | 11 | – |
| 4:05 | San Miguel Handicap StakesClass 5 | 7f | 10 | – |
| 4:38 | Outcider Handicap StakesClass 6 | 1m | 14 | – |
| 5:13 | Magners Original Cider Handicap StakesClass 6 | 1m 5f | 5 | – |
Our Record at Ayr
since 19 Jun7 winners from 44 picks here on the daily card and the X thread. The biggest-priced of them:
Price is the one we put up. The full card record, losers included, is on the record page.
Trainers in Form
last 14 daysNo trainer with a runner here today is in a hot spell.
At least 6 runners in the last 14 days, at any track, winning with 25% or more.
Course Winners Running Today
today's runners| Time | Horse | Won here | This trip |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:45 | Royal Blaze | 3 of 7 | 3 |
| 1:45 | Naturalia | 2 of 5 | 1 |
| 1:45 | West Tyrone | 1 of 2 | 1 |
| 3:30 | Eye of Dubai | 1 of 2 | 1 |
| 3:30 | Manila Scouse | 1 of 3 | 1 |
| 4:05 | Cisco Disco | 5 of 16 | – |
| 4:05 | Empirestateofmind | 3 of 3 | – |
| 4:05 | One Night Thunder | 1 of 2 | 1 |
| 4:05 | The Gay Blade | 1 of 3 | 1 |
| 4:05 | Ashen | 1 of 4 | 1 |
| 4:38 | Penelope's Sister | 3 of 18 | 3 |
| 4:38 | Ey Up Its Jazz | 1 of 3 | 1 |
| 5:13 | Aighear | 3 of 7 | 1 |
Plus 2 more with a single win here at another trip.
Top Ayr Trainers
last 12 months, flat| Trainer | W–R | Here | All tracks | 1pt SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Goldie | 17–169 | 10.1% | 10.5% | +122.26 |
| Michael Dods | 10–59 | 16.9% | 9.1% | +0.27 |
| Iain Jardine | 5–63 | 7.9% | 11.7% | -30.00 |
| John & Sean Quinn | 4–18 | 22.2% | 10.9% | +3.03 |
| Charlie Johnston | 4–25 | 16.0% | 11.4% | -6.50 |
| K. R. Burke | 4–26 | 15.4% | 19.4% | -5.15 |
| Ewan Whillans | 4–28 | 14.3% | 8.5% | +4.50 |
| Michael & David Easterby | 4–30 | 13.3% | 8.8% | -2.00 |
| Richard & Peter Fahey | 4–34 | 11.8% | 9.8% | -13.00 |
| Tim Easterby | 4–55 | 7.3% | 9.4% | +5.60 |
Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.
Top Ayr Jockeys
last 12 months, flat| Jockey | W–R | Here | All tracks | 1pt SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mulrennan | 12–80 | 15.0% | 9.9% | -27.20 |
| Jason Hart | 9–60 | 15.0% | 13.7% | +12.83 |
| Connor Beasley | 8–32 | 25.0% | 13.2% | +15.37 |
| Clifford Lee | 6–28 | 21.4% | 13.7% | +7.35 |
| David Nolan | 5–33 | 15.2% | 9.8% | -3.17 |
| Oisin Orr | 4–22 | 18.2% | 14.6% | +28.38 |
| Sean Kirrane | 4–30 | 13.3% | 8.2% | +7.08 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 4–32 | 12.5% | 15.0% | -7.47 |
| Rhys Elliott | 4–44 | 9.1% | 7.1% | +178.00 |
| Lauren Young | 4–51 | 7.8% | 9.3% | -21.25 |
Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.
Ayr Draw Bias
flat races since 17 AprNo part of the draw wins more than its share of runners by enough to rule out chance, at any trip. Over 172 races, where a horse is drawn here has mattered less than it is often given credit for.
On good or faster ground: no trip here has the 60 races we need yet, so we do not show it. This fills in as the record grows.
On good to soft or softer ground: no trip here has the 60 races we need yet, so we do not show it. This fills in as the record grows.
Stalls are split into low, middle and high thirds within each race. Each bar is that third's share of the winners and the tick is its share of the runners, so a bar past its tick is winning more than its share. We only call a bias when the gap is at least 15% of that share and two standard deviations clear of chance.
Ayr Track Guide
Ayr is a left-handed oval of 12 furlongs including a half mile run in.
A six-furlong chute joins the round track after just over a furlong, and sprints are held over the straight course.
It is generally flat with gentle undulations and a wide track that allows sprint fields of up to 28.
- Direction
- Left-handed
- Shape
- Oval of 12 furlongs including a half mile run in
- Straight
- Six-furlong straight course
- Surface
- Turf
- Racing
- Flat and National Hunt
Every figure on this page is counted from official flat results for Ayr and refreshed each morning. Each section states its window, and anything below a minimum sample is left off rather than shown on thin numbers.